August 9, 2006

Unintended consequences...

Vin Suprynowicz:

...Today, Hezbollah and Hamas have a problem. All their planning was based on the fact that the world and the United States have never allowed Israel to really win a war -- they always call a cease-fire after a maximum of 20 days.

Can anyone see the terrorists looking around now, wondering when they get their next three years off for rest, refit and resupply? "Hey, it's been the full three weeks. Guys? Anyone? Hello?"

We started out saying war is horrible and is to be avoided whenever possible. But there is a corollary doctrine. If you want a generation of peace, those who launch wars have to be shown this, good and hard....

We have taught Hamas and Hezbollah to make war. Taught them with "ceasefires," which have ingrained the lesson that they can start violent conflicts, and not have to finish them, not have to live with the consequences. We've done it over and over, and the result is war---over and over.

I have no doubt that the church leaders who are now calling for a ceasefire are sincerely seeking peace. But there never was a bigger example of the law of unintended consequences than this one...

Or actually there is. On the very same subject of "ceasefires." Because the biggest ceasefire of them all was the Armistice in November 1918. We know now that Germany was then on the brink of total economic and military collapse. But the war-weary Allies allowed them to sue for peace, and the Great War was ended in a way that left many Germans thinking that their armies had surrendered while they were still intact, and similar in strength to the allies. This was completely false, but it looked to many Germans like they had been "stabbed in the back," and that they could win on the next go-around. Including a fellow named Adolph Hitler...

Posted by John Weidner at August 9, 2006 8:32 AM
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