October 04, 2005

My rebuttal to Hawkins...

John Hawkins asks:

Knowing what we know today, why should conservatives trust George Bush after the terrible judgement he has shown on so many issues?

Why? How about because of the great job he has done on many issues. I'll list some after I deal with Hawkins' specifics...

It goes without saying that Bush is worse than Lyndon Johnson in the big spending department. In his entire time in the White House, he has never even vetoed a single pork laden bill. Then there's the enormous Medicare prescription drug benefit which will create a massive expansion of government and add a trillion dollars to the debt next 15 years.

The drug benefit was probably going to happen no matter what--the political pressure was too strong. But with it we got HSA's, which liberals have been blocking for decades. They will be an important component of the Ownership Society. And we got private-sector competition built in to the drug benefit, which is already causing projected costs to fall.

We also can't forget the anti-First Amendment, McCain-Feingold campaign finance reform bill which Bush signed into law or Bush's position on illegal immigration which has alienated a large chunk of the party.

I don't like either one. (But without Bush we might have the AUTHOR of McCain-Feingold in the WH!)

Since his election in 2004, Bush has spent months senselessly flogging Social Security when almost everyone acknowledges it isn't going anywhere.

Bush's SS reforms are probably the boldest conservative initiative in modern times. Reagan could only dream of making such a proposal. Just to have it seriously debated is a miracle, and for Hawkins to stand aside and sneer is stupid. And I bet it isn't really dead.

Even on the war in Iraq, an area where many conservatives agree wholeheartedly with his policies, it has been frustrating to watch Bush twiddling his thumbs instead of making a real effort to buck up public support for the war.

Bush is fighting and WINNING the war! For that alone he deserves our trust and support. And the winning, as it becomes apparent, is what is going to bring public support. Not more speeches that the media will ignore anyway.

Now, to top it all off, Bush has picked a minimally qualified crony without solid conservative credentials for the Supreme Court because...why exactly? He knows her, she has been nice to him, and that makes her the best person to fill one of the most crucial jobs in the country?

Rubbish. She's only "unqualified" in the "distinguished legal scholar" sense. But we don't need one of those; the Constitution isn't an inscrutable document. She's smart, she's an originalist and a pro-life Christian, and she's been very successful at a variety of jobs. She will do us proud.

You can try to put a good face on this decision if you like, but the very fact that so many conservatives are ripping into Bush over the Miers nomination -- in and of itself -- means she was a terrible selection even if Miers is really to the right of Clarence Thomas.

Phooey. Popular doesn't mean right.
Let me list a few of the ways Bush has shown splendid judgement and got results...
  • Restored dignity to White House. No more scandals, pardon-selling, or frat-boy antics.
  • 3 major tax cuts--result, economic recovery. All economic indicators trending strongly upward. The rich are paying a higher percentage of taxes than when Bush elected.
  • Faith-based initiatives. Decisively attacked the notion that "separation of church and state" should mean atheist government.
  • NCLB, which is now starting to have real positive effects as public schools are forced to meet standards. Putting Federal weight behind teaching of Phonics. Vouchers for DC, and for Katrina victims.
  • Suspended Davis-Bacon in Katrina area (which is the size of Grt Britain.)
  • forced "merit" hiring and promotion onto a big chunk of the Fed bureaucracy. Made it much easier for private firms to bid for work now done by Civil Service.
  • Many free trade agreements, which get almost no notice, though everyone screamed about the (now ended) Steel Tariffs.
  • Stopped Fed funding for new lines of embryonic stem cells; a strong symbolic victory for the Culture of Life. INCREASED funding for stem cell research.
  • HSA's are now a reality, after being blocked for decades by Dems.
  • Work begun on Missile Defense. Outdated Cold-War Missile Defense treaty ended.
  • Ended the hypocrisy of "supporting" the Kyoto Treaty, which was rejected by the Senate 95-0 during Clinton's time.
  • Rejected ICC.
  • Two of the worst tyrannies in the world overthrown...50 million liberated. No domestic terror attacks since 9/11. Many successful attacks on Al Qaeda and other terror groups, and their funding. Iraq Campaign has utterly transformed WOT, as Islamist groups are forced to react to OUR move, forced to fight us where we have our best forces. Also, Iran now has US forces on both sides.
  • Bush doctrine. Revising the outdated "Treaty of Westphalia" and establishing the principle that national sovereignty is dependent on democratic legitimacy.
  • Willing to FIGHT. Able to stick with the decision when all the weak sisters are whimpering and caving.
  • PSI & Caspian Guard. Libya out of the WMD game. Syria out of Lebanon. Democratic stirrings all across the Islamic world.
  • Supporting tort reform
  • Refused to deal with Arafat.
  • Openly said we will defend Taiwan
  • First president ever to have a VP doing real work in the administration--in fact the Cheney's are a whole amazing family of conservatives working for us.
  • Defeated two ghastly Democrat candidates. Saved us from at least one ghastly First Lady. Saved us from having John McCain as Republican candidate in 2000!! [Thank you, God!]
  • Gave us a smart bookish First Lady we can be proud of.
  • Campaigns not only to get himself re-elected but also to help other Republican candidates.
  • Nominated many excellent appellate judges. (How soon we forget)
Posted by John Weidner at October 4, 2005 09:36 AM
Comments

Excellent!

Posted by: Cathy at October 4, 2005 10:17 AM

" but the very fact that so many conservatives are ripping into Bush over the Miers nomination ..."

Mr. Hawkins is apparently more concerned with appearences than substance. Kind of like most of the left.

Posted by: Ed Colletta at October 4, 2005 11:25 AM

I know, appearances

Posted by: Ed Colletta at October 4, 2005 11:27 AM

Well, I'm a conservative who thinks Bush has earned my trust. He has certainly frustrated me on occasion, but only a fool would think that his has not been a consequential presidency. He takes on big issues and seeks meaningful long-term solutions - exactly the kind of thing politicians looking only to get re-elected DON'T do.

This is not simple 'cronyism'. There is nothing about the man that would lead one to believe he would take something this important so lightly.

Posted by: Mike Plaiss at October 4, 2005 12:17 PM

Two points:

1) As you've often pointed out, Bush spends a lot, but he does so in a new way - he introduces market forces and choice into his proposals. The money is the spoonful of sugar, but the free market is the medicine.

2) Social Security Reform may be DOA in congress right now - but large reforms are seldom won in quick, sweeping blows. The American System of internal improvements took generations to be realized; the war against the National Bank took both of Jackson's administrations, and really wasn't fulfilled until the very end of Van Buren's term when the Divorce proposal finally passed; it took generations and a war to end slavery; there were Women's Suffrage movements in the 1840's, but no 19th Amendment until 1920; civil rights, the Great Society, and today's conservative movement - all these huge shifts take time. Why people seem to think that one vote or one poll spells defeat for an idea is just beyond me.

Bush may not accomplish Social Security Reform by 2008, but he's laying the groundwork, and he's defining the terms - market reforms vs. doing nothing. It's not like this issue is going away. And when the time is ripe, the work he's already done will have a profound impact on the course we eventually take.

And if, in the end, Clinton 44 signs the Social Security Private Account Act (just as Clinton 42 signed Welfare Reform), it'll be as much Bush's victory as if Bush signs it - because he took the initiative, framed the debate, and set the course.

To sum it all up: dude isn't thinking about his next chess move; he's thinking about how to teach his children to beat your children.

Posted by: Ethan Hahn at October 4, 2005 12:52 PM

Thanks John, you made my day.

I wonder if conservatives aren't getting a little itchy and insecure right now. They know Bush will leave office in '09, but they don't know what comes next.

The result is any sense of being on the same "team" has eroded.

This can help and hurt. It assists the GOP's image by demonstrating strident introspection, something lacking in the Dem's these days. But it can also be self-defeating: the petty snarking about cronyism and incompetence in Bush's administration will legitimize the same complaints by the GOP's opponents in "06 and '08.

Condi will have to wash off all this mud before she runs against the Dem's gleaming, white horse, Hillary.
-Steve

Posted by: Steve at October 4, 2005 02:33 PM

I think that most Republicans and most of the right-wing bloggers don't know much about Sun Tzu or strategy.

Here's what one who does know has to say:

http://artofwarplus.com/wordpress/?p=586

Secrecy about your plans and capabilities is one of the basic rules of strategy....
Secrecy is necessary in strategy because if opponents know your moves, they will act to prevent them. A good recent example in the political world is the appointment of Miers to the Supreme Court. Even more than Roberts before her, Miers’ views are not necessarily a matter of public record. In nominating her, Bush is establishing a position that is, by definition, hard to attack because it is unknown. This tells us that Bush is concerned primarily at this point about defending his nominee and is not confident of his party hanging together under attack to support a more controversial conservative pick. [Hello, Sen's Chaffee & Snow!]

Strategy also teaches that direct person-to-person communication is the most reliable source of information, and that seeing how someone acts over time is a better indication of character than anything anyone says. By this standard, Bush certainly knows Miers, having worked directly with her for years, while the public and especially Bush’s opposition cannot. The question is: can the public trust Bush’s judgment? It really doesn’t matter with the Republicans in command of the Senate and a Bush nomination that is difficult to attack, even on the issue of gender.
...
When her rulings come, America will find that her positions will be close to Bush’s, which means that she is either an extreme conservative or a weak conservative, depending on the perspective of your own position. Bush was clearly more interested in an easy win here than a big victory, which is, by Sun Tzu’s definitions, the hallmark of good strategy.

Posted by: Ray at October 4, 2005 05:04 PM

I'm with Ethan. Bush always adds a "poison pill" when he spends money. The pill is to let market forces into the mix. In the long run that may be the most effective in controlling costs and undermining the liberal "dependency society." After all, no one is arguing that we can't afford these social programs now. The problems, always, are down the road. And that's how Bush is thinking. Down the road is diminated by private sector market discipline.

Posted by: Frank at October 4, 2005 07:12 PM

Though an evangelical Christian, I still threw a rather undignified hissy-fit on Monday. But since then, I've heard from James Dobson and Miers' minister, and in both cases have been reassured.

I don't buy into the need for another constitutional "genius" on the court. You don't even need to be a lawyer to read the Constitution and understand it. The nature of Harriet Miers' heart and motivations are the real concern.

George Bush knows her heart. The decision has been made. Did he choose the best?

I think its time for conservatives to choose the best course of action... and that is to get off our soap boxes and support this nomination. Its the smart thing to do.

I pray for this president every morning. This is where the faith part comes in.

Posted by: Chris malott at October 5, 2005 02:48 AM

You don't keelhaul a winning coach because he kicks a field goal instead of running on fourth down in the third quarter of a close game. He may be following a game plan, and there's still time for touchdowns.

Posted by: Mahon at October 5, 2005 11:29 AM

"Faith-based initiatives. Decisively attacked the notion that "separation of church and state" should mean atheist government."

It should mean agnostic government. Not advocating atheism or theism.

I know faith-based initiatives are great for conservative christians, but I don't understand how supporting faith-based initiatives is desirable for non-christians. Great, your favorite brand of rent-seekers are getting more money, but comeon, have you forgotten about limited government? Are republicans any less statist than democrats?

I do understand that religious organizations are solid organizations that promote thoughtful and respectful decision-making the majority of the time. However, this is not a justification in and of itself to promote them via taxdollars. If they are viable organizations, they should not need my income to survive. I know that we are spending money on worse things right now, but that is not a justification either. Such an argument only further supports the expansion of the state.

"The drug benefit was probably going to happen no matter what--the political pressure was too strong. But with it we got HSA's, which liberals have been blocking for decades. They will be an important component of the Ownership Society. And we got private-sector competition built in to the drug benefit, which is already causing projected costs to fall."

So, did you just decide not to address the exhorbiant amount of spending increases?

Remember, part of his argument was: "It goes without saying that Bush is worse than Lyndon Johnson in the big spending department. In his entire time in the White House, he has never even vetoed a single pork laden bill."

The leviathon has not grown at this rate since the 30s! Conservative? How? Socially, yes. Fiscally - give me a break. Any attempt at labeling this administration conservative must be done outside the bounds of a reality-based world.

I'd love to hear why I'm wrong - and I'm sure I will!

Posted by: Exploring at October 10, 2005 02:07 PM

This post is a bit misleading, because I'm sort of assuming the reader knows points that I've made elsewhere. Sorry. See this post for an example.

From a traditional conservative viewpoint you are absolutely right. And if I could wave a magic wand and make government shrink to a tenth of its size, and only undertake a few vital tasks, I'd do it. But I don't think that's going to happen, so I'm a supporter of another strategy.

I'm also a bit of a theocon, and I think the health of a nation is much dependent on having a population that believes in God, and not just in personal fulfillment. And I strongly suspect that the decline and decay we see in Europe is intimately connected with the loss of faith. (Can't prove it, but here's an interesting bit of statistical evidence ). So I think you too may have a stake in the health of faith-based groups. (But I can't be sure that giving them government money is actually good for them!)

Posted by: John Weidner at October 10, 2005 03:31 PM
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