July 13, 2004

"It is not the Republicans who need worry about voters waking up"

David Cohen writes:

...The President also has an advantage that should be glaringly obvious but is often ignored. He is the conservative candidate of the conservative party in a conservative nation. Too often conservatives act as if they agreed with the far left that the left is the natural home of the poor and middle class and some day voters will wake up to that fact and never vote Republican again. This is nonsense. Americans believe that they can succeed if they work hard and that our liberties must be zealously guarded from government.

The majority of Americans who oppose the estate tax don't do so because they are fools; they do so because of their sense of fairness. The majority of Americans who believe taxes should be low, including on the rich, do not suffer from false consciousness; they believe that people should enjoy the fruits of their labor. The majority of Americans do not want abortion on demand or gay marriage or teachers who cannot be fired from failing schools. It is not the Republicans who need worry about voters waking up, but Democrats...

It's fascinating to watch what's going on through the lens of the 70-year cycle theory. Dems now are doing just what Republicans did in the 1930's. For instance, Republicans then, after losing badly in '32, came to think they were getting stronger because they were puffed-up with a lot of angry energy. Bankers and industrialists, infuriated by the New Deal, supported the party as never before, many switching from the Democrats. The war-chests were full. They felt strong. But they were living in a dreamland. Industrialists? The Democrat strategy of appealing to Northern industrial workers was about to really kick in. 1936 would be even worse...

Right now Republicans are working hard to gain the favor of blacks and Hispanics, the majority of whom are socially conservative. The correct Democrat response would be to move to the right, to become more conservative to shore up support in these core groups. But they can't even imagine doing so, because so much of their energy now is coming from the angry kooks. Their center-of-gravity is somewhere around Whoppi Goldberg...

Posted by John Weidner at July 13, 2004 9:56 PM
Weblog by John Weidner